TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x122e…5258

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kitzbuehel: Erika Andreeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$40.2
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$17.2
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.07
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$45.24
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrandbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$16.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$27.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$12.88
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$67.47
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$239.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.