Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Erika Andreeva vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdacbd4994d8df5bd0d0c818357e123fc5cc564a605eb193ba0f06a9f0e80abac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Erika Andreeva, Sinja Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Erika Andreeva | 3c | 10,483$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sinja Kraus | 73c | 3,086$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.19 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Erika Andreeva | 26c | 2,923$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.39 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erika Andreeva | 4c | 1,434$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Erika Andreeva | 5c | 1,395$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Erika Andreeva | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Erika Andreeva | 22c | 966.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Erika Andreeva | 3c | 963.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 769.43$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b2d4backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Erika Andreeva | 13c | 605.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Erika Andreeva | 4c | 534.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus | 71c | 472.23$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…e738backed Erika Andreeva | 2c | 445.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Erika Andreeva | 24c | 382.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Erika Andreeva | 6c | 364.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Erika Andreeva | 27c | 344.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Erika Andreeva | 29c | 336.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Erika Andreeva | 5c | 325.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Erika Andreeva | 21c | 311.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Erika Andreeva | 29c | 276$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Erika Andreeva | 11c | 272.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Erika Andreeva | 8c | 264.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Erika Andreeva | 30c | 250.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Sinja Kraus | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Erika Andreeva | 8c | 224.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Erika Andreeva | 12c | 200.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…1706backed Erika Andreeva | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Erika Andreeva | 28c | 178.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Erika Andreeva | 30c | 175.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Erika Andreeva | 8c | 156.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Erika Andreeva | 30c | 151.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Erika Andreeva | 14c | 140.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Erika Andreeva | 26c | 137.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Erika Andreeva | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Erika Andreeva | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Erika Andreeva | 26c | 85.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecd…4243backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Erika Andreeva | 28c | 63.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Erika Andreeva | 30c | 53.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Erika Andreeva | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Erika Andreeva | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Erika Andreeva | 27c | 49.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Sinja Kraus | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sinja Kraus | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Erika Andreeva | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Erika Andreeva | 29c | 35.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122e…5258backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sinja Kraus | 72c | 23.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sinja Kraus | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.