Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881a8f56f7fd207f0df92688beb7f83890daa1b56a0065f5a9137ea5bc7d09bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Collignonof Raphael Collignon, Lorenzo Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Raphael Collignon | 68c | 109,919$74,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,138.45 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Lorenzo Sonego | 39c | 25,964$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Lorenzo Sonego | 35c | 25,101$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,779.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 22,865$15,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,774.07 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Collignon | 73c | 22,193$16,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.46 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 19,101$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.38 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Lorenzo Sonego | 43c | 18,128$7,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,845.94 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 15,851$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.86 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…3d74backed Raphael Collignon | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 14,888$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.06 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 13,999$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.6 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Raphael Collignon | 74c | 11,460$8,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.24 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 10,986$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Collignon | 77c | 8,164$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.74 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 8,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.99 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 7,535$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.55 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Lorenzo Sonego | 22c | 6,453$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Sonego | 29c | 6,260$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.6 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 16c | 6,258$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Lorenzo Sonego | 38c | 5,073$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.79 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 4,600$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.6 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Raphael Collignon | 65c | 3,729$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.15 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Sonego | 31c | 3,554$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.4 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Sonego | 29c | 3,243$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.84 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 3,134$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.48 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 2,827$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.87 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 35c | 2,697$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.67 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Lorenzo Sonego | 29c | 2,400$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Raphael Collignon | 73c | 2,331$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.6 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 2,065$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.95 | 272 | 48.2%131 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 2,015$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.93 | 314 | 51.9%163 W · 151 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Lorenzo Sonego | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Raphael Collignon | 73c | 1,782$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.96 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 1,719$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…3974backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 1,693$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…366abacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 1,676$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Raphael Collignon | 65c | 1,675$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.23 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Sonego | 27c | 1,649$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.74 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 1,640$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Raphael Collignon | 63c | 1,606$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.22 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Raphael Collignon | 65c | 1,590$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Raphael Collignon | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 39c | 1,527$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.1 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Raphael Collignon | 68c | 1,446$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.03 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 1,406$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.88 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Raphael Collignon | 76c | 1,288$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Lorenzo Sonego | 19c | 1,215$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…74ffbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 18c | 1,176$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 1,140$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.35 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Lorenzo Sonego | 50c | 1,124$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Raphael Collignon | 66c | 1,068$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.02 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 1,053$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.39 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Lorenzo Sonego | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Sonego | 35c | 1,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Lorenzo Sonego | 30c | 955.4$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 950$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 943.15$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 922.67$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Raphael Collignon | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Lorenzo Sonego | 23c | 802.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 773.47$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Raphael Collignon | 66c | 762.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Raphael Collignon | 70c | 760.38$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Raphael Collignon | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 751.02$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.35 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Raphael Collignon | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Raphael Collignon | 68c | 666.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.19 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 35c | 657.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lorenzo Sonego | 31c | 653.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 36c | 638.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Raphael Collignon | 65c | 617.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 609.77$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 587.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Lorenzo Sonego | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 19c | 515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Lorenzo Sonego | 43c | 513.88$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lorenzo Sonego | 33c | 511.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Raphael Collignon | 74c | 506.94$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Raphael Collignon | 67c | 505.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Raphael Collignon | 59c | 499.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Sonego | 32c | 475$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Lorenzo Sonego | 34c | 465.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Lorenzo Sonego | 24c | 464.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Raphael Collignon | 79c | 430.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonegothis page
- Collignon vs. Sonego: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Raphael Collignon vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs SonegoCollignon won
- Set 2 Winner: Collignon vs SonegoCollignon won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.