Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d69c84b4ea73a4c9f3f261ed4af86ab1932cb01f6c88ef86e0ced837670dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Sonego | 65c | 1,541$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Collignon | 60c | 963$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Collignon | 70c | 962.8$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sonego | 40c | 498.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Sonego | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sonego | 40c | 206$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…5da4backed Collignon | 37c | 192.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Collignon | 44c | 164.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Collignon | 41c | 162.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sonego | 58c | 131.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Collignon | 45c | 130.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Sonego | 54c | 123.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sonego | 40c | 116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Sonego | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Collignon | 61c | 96.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sonego | 42c | 89.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Sonego | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Collignon | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Collignon | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…6866backed Collignon | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Collignon | 47c | 35.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Sonego | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sonego | 57c | 30.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…3bedbacked Sonego | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Collignon | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Sonegothis page
- Collignon vs. Sonego: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Raphael Collignon vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Collignon vs SonegoCollignon won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)Collignon won
- Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo SonegoRaphael Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.