TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrand

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Robert Strombachsof Robert Strombachs, Robin Bertrand
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5af…f9e3backed Robin Bertrand22c3,384$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73030225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Robert Strombachs70c2,095$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Robert Strombachs79c1,528$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.858,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Robin Bertrand28c1,321$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.688,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Robert Strombachs68c1,181$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.114,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Robin Bertrand53c1,148$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.41,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Robin Bertrand17c970.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.346,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Robin Bertrand25c856.83$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1614225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Robin Bertrand25c792.66$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.874,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Robin Bertrand19c724.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.016,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Bertrand22c679.37$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.68,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Robin Bertrand52c582.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Robert Strombachs76c534.33$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.242,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Robert Strombachs69c475.29$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.259,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Robert Strombachs53c461$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Robin Bertrand16c417.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0978840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Robin Bertrand47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14136852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Robin Bertrand20c299.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Robin Bertrand51c252.93$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8653843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Robert Strombachs75c249.12$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.192,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Robert Strombachs73c243.08$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.122540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Robert Strombachs49c240$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.423247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Robert Strombachs53c239.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.860856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Robert Strombachs77c234.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1736264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Robin Bertrand54c222.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Robin Bertrand49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Robin Bertrand51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Robin Bertrand45c190.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.73,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Robert Strombachs73c190.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.781,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Robin Bertrand23c184.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Robert Strombachs55c182.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2769253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Robert Strombachs50c144.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Robert Strombachs49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.411050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Robin Bertrand50c138.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1419338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Robert Strombachs80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Robin Bertrand20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Robert Strombachs42c117$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.865,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Robert Strombachs77c114.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.743,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Robin Bertrand49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Robert Strombachs51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Robin Bertrand46c96.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3167144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Robert Strombachs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1538664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Robin Bertrand28c80.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Robin Bertrand47c77.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122e…5258backed Robert Strombachs77c71.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Robert Strombachs53c71.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1520764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Robert Strombachs78c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.572,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Robin Bertrand26c66.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49458.5%55 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Robert Strombachs53c66.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2889859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Robert Strombachs51c66.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Robin Bertrand32c63.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9178350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Robin Bertrand49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Robert Strombachs50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…e8ffbacked Robin Bertrand24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Robert Strombachs49c57.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4640161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a3…9cbfbacked Robin Bertrand21c56.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Robin Bertrand46c56.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0953544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Robin Bertrand27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Robin Bertrand27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Robert Strombachs80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1826563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Robert Strombachs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Robert Strombachs51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Robert Strombachs54c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9117656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…7d89backed Robert Strombachs79c44.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.519463.8%60 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf146…8a4cbacked Robin Bertrand24c42.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Robin Bertrand52c40.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.312945.7%59 W · 70 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Robert Strombachs51c40.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa5…3bc2backed Robert Strombachs75c40.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.143447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Robert Strombachs52c37.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Robert Strombachs73c36.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8919474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Robert Strombachs53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4537158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Robert Strombachs63c34.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdf…e241backed Robert Strombachs80c31.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…22e9backed Robert Strombachs65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07bc…3b76backed Robert Strombachs53c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Robin Bertrand38c28.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5439039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe13…c286backed Robert Strombachs72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Robin Bertrand50c26.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.083268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Robert Strombachs77c26.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.089374.2%69 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Robin Bertrand50c26.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Robert Strombachs77c25.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7747274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Robin Bertrand49c24.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Robert Strombachs66c16.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7566834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Robert Strombachs80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.7518572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.