Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b3fe40c6be708ba307e621698f5eea25e8e7fa4e45320c0f675405b3eabac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 1c | 849.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 75c | 532.03$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 77c | 372.27$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 357.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 18c | 329.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 4c | 317.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes | 26c | 218.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 24c | 204.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 27c | 157.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 22c | 130.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4492…cad8backed Yes | 26c | 97.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 72.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 72c | 68.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 58.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 71c | 56.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 74c | 54.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e9e8backed No | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 25c | 48.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 78c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 75c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in June 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.