Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3946cb89eb87ca2d2e472a80855433c4401f4243f2e617d01fe565fcfb1d0e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 62c | 1,562$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 10c | 1,530$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 40c | 1,023$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 18c | 982.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 53c | 949.11$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 38c | 796$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…f147backed Yes | 19c | 689.47$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 68c | 469$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 465.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 31c | 354.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 325.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 296.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 30c | 287.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 37c | 195.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…c0d0backed Yes | 53c | 188.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 45c | 167.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked No | 55c | 160.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 67c | 112.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 30c | 106.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…fd8abacked No | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 60c | 96.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 61c | 93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 49c | 67.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 43c | 58.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 57c | 54.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 66c | 51.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 42c | 51.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…7aefbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…4ca5backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 48.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…90f3backed No | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 43c | 45.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 75c | 44.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 57c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 38c | 39.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…ad9ebacked No | 44c | 36.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed No | 38c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…f904backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes | 44c | 29.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed No | 60c | 28.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 41c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…00dfbacked Yes | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…dc52backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 70c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked No | 62c | 18.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in June 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.