Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd034a039becd07029020a0986b713cb61ae76152e99ed36faf5e83a7f6b819de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,812$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 2,358$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 69c | 867.51$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 4c | 716.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 65c | 613.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Over | 52c | 436.54$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 36c | 277.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 28c | 267$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Under | 48c | 204.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 160.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 68c | 66.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 34c | 64.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 53.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 30c | 51.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 33c | 49.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 70c | 45.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Over | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Over | 72c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.