Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6d830a2a00db1a7fbd68a4f9b962d076ba2d494d471a77dc530e03b3f13c260

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	68c	1,546$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.49	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	54c	1,202$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.92	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	846.75$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.05	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over	31c	706.98$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.54	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	25cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	53c	703.3$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.02	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	40c	613.56$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.55	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	29c	570.51$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.79	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	59c	472.2$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.24	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	44c	458.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.72	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over	42c	425.25$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.62	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under	43c	403.49$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.37	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over	44c	398.2$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.99	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fd…783cbacked Under	64c	344.66$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.53	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	63c	323.01$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.74	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under	59c	301.11$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.29	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	44c	287.73$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.9	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	62c	283.35$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.33	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x070f…1faebacked Under	59c	280.93$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under	35c	248.94$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.13	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	57c	203.47$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.12	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under	57c	189.68$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.12	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	53c	165.89$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.68	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a1…2954backed Under	61c	165.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	40c	153.89$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.34	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	57c	150.77$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.94	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	42c	147.04$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.44	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	66c	138.6$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.43	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Over	48c	127.22$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.95	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	42c	119.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.98	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under	60c	91.83$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over	41c	85.37$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	59c	85.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.37	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	15c	79.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	62c	74.2$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.57	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	64c	70.1$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.47	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over	66c	66.52$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.62	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over	69c	62.76$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	33c	58.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.51	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	26c	57.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.69	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over	64c	57.22$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.6	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over	43c	52.86$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.13	171	45%77 W · 94 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Over	30c	50.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.99	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	102	41.2%42 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	32c	46.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	236	45.3%107 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	42c	41.49$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.06	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under	59c	35.59$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	150	62.7%94 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	63c	34.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.09	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over	42c	34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.72	225	43.1%97 W · 128 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	58c	34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over	44c	22.73$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	57c	21.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	57c	19.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	62c	19.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Under	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5this page
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event