Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473f5880a9544a9087799783ef8dbb9df23a335caaf16b5e64075c2e3468d757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,292$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed No | 63c | 908.79$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 62c | 540.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.62 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 32c | 421.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 341.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 40c | 305.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 37c | 295.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 36c | 279.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 61c | 239.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 39c | 230.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 46c | 210.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 202.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…3e5cbacked No | 66c | 177.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 42c | 161.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 39c | 129.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 64c | 77.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 70.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 69.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 63.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…1fadbacked No | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 39c | 49.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 61c | 44.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 35c | 43.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 67c | 42.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed No | 61c | 38.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 39c | 29.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…6dc9backed No | 79c | 27.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 61c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.