Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c274643208cdb61126c05315cf89e47436282c9b7918af670f1e4cb17bb2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 52c | 30,709$15,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,770.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 6,182$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.92 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 4,608$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.77 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 4,232$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 3,819$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.2 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 54c | 2,176$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 2,053$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.04 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.47 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,538$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,506$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.41 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 436.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.65 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 433.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 24c | 412$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 62c | 354.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 35c | 305$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 290.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 54c | 289.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 80c | 253.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 229.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 156.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 61c | 130.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 119.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 52c | 91.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 82.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 79.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 74.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 70.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 58.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 54.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 49.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 48c | 47.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 27c | 44.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 48c | 42.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 30c | 41.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 71c | 27.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 49c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 62c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 70c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…e96abacked Over | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 78c | 15.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.