Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1afc25cda4e5567930091d997678574047ff0bce006424519e24ac64c6d243d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,033$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 30c | 1,688$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Under | 51c | 1,533$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 1,343$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.08 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,249$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.14 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 1,231$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.12 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 32c | 909.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.79 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 901.07$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.32 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 840.91$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 799.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.74 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 68c | 581.49$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.15 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 574.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 39c | 500$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 32c | 494.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 52c | 288.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 12c | 281.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 47c | 248.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 73c | 247.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 234.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 57c | 213.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 212.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 36c | 210.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 10c | 195.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 168.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 32c | 156$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 152.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 32c | 117.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 90.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 47c | 79.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 71.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 71.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 56.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…b1f2backed Under | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 55c | 45.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 40.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 36.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 36.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 46c | 28.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 68c | 22.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 68c | 21.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 68c | 14.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.