TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes7c1,600$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.28180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes26c881.67$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1610148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes6c814.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8319923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Yes35c742.43$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.781729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c653.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked Yes3c543.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+96.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes5c513.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3829436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes3c474.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7124126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes5c401.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.891246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2488.3%4 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1236…7d21backed Yes6c389.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes32c257.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.481,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes20c214.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.611,04834.5%362 W · 686 L-94.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes15c212.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9429747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes8c176.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9715020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No53c162.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes21c126.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2736550.4%184 W · 181 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No72c125.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.822450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef5…c90bbacked No71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…fcffbacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes13c87.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0323323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes42c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9211133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb83…42d5backed No73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.110967%73 W · 36 L+12.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ea…5843backed Yes44c56.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+162.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…ab27backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fd…15a0backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee10…bfa2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No66c44.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.211952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c35.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2430718.6%57 W · 250 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.