TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes67c38,118$25,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,707.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes61c24,606$15,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,594.634353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c16,572$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No40c15,642$6,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,205.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No40c15,133$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.4942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes63c9,941$6,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.681,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No35c9,716$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c4,865$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.41,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c4,307$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No41c4,207$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.9914342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes60c4,164$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.6512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…97b0backed No41c3,895$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c3,833$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c3,783$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.321,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No40c3,544$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.9384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked No40c3,292$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No17c2,145$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No41c1,987$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.847235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes72c1,984$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4413847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes70c1,954$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No41c1,857$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.468250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c1,686$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c1,667$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6830117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes60c1,501$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.4811341.6%47 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No7c1,480$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6310443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No40c1,400$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1211448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No39c1,395$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c1,315$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.792,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c1,151$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3943835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5410945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c1,111$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.63,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes59c1,100$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c980.96$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c973.72$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fd…783cbacked Yes60c916.05$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No18c900.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.063354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No33c887.99$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4616957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Yes58c846.36$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.475062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes60c829.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.244027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddcb…1815backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.456058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No25c732.01$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0717535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No41c727.74$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.094847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes63c698.39$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.621,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No15c697$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.461,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c683.57$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c682.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.151,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafad…cea8backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes60c617.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1951228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No41c507.27$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.851,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…453fbacked Yes60c500.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No41c484.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.728345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No7c467.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.182,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c465.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No41c454$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.142458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No41c442.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No41c427$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0759752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes68c404.34$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a0…49c4backed Yes73c380$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c363.78$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c362.22$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.83,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No41c341.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ef…dda9backed Yes60c341.46$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No39c327.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes67c325.18$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1827767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes61c319.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.677853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes60c291.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.719936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No34c289.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.066435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No23c284.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.085957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c276.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.122656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed No5c262.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.127847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No28c260$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.715947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No42c255.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No42c255.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No39c250.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8521046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.955153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e48…a5aabacked Yes72c239.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No15c238.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.736098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f0…f741backed Yes62c232.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.41450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes74c228.94$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.923940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Yes60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes60c202.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No39c195$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.051,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No16c193.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No40c185.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.074257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes80c180.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…f50fbacked Yes60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No40c171.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4828435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb534…06a6backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.