Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. Australia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8edc3157f87ce3c96836085de0f3e165651d9f2f0928b8c29379cd4b26fd85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 13,807$10,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,613$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 24c | 3,302$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.44 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 2,452$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.54 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 24c | 2,061$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.55 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,719$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.52 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 900.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…15a4backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 25c | 576.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 78c | 450.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 444$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 412.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 399.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 284 | 35.9%102 W · 182 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…a575backed Yes | 16c | 380.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 22c | 341.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 320$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 280.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 79c | 259$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 17c | 250.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 225.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 223$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 216$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Yes | 24c | 155.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…ca7cbacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Yes | 24c | 130.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Yes | 24c | 115.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 10c | 112.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 70.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 60.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 25c | 58.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 24c | 54.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 24c | 48.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…33d9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. Australia end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.