Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede322408ccf7424c2cfae11e71905daf86c318c5f45a545f06fa1d1f2ffe235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 3c | 7,461$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.44 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 4,788$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 16c | 1,827$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,362$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 3c | 676.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab22…c3f6backed Yes | 18c | 559.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 3c | 483$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 397.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 307.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…9d48backed Yes | 18c | 201.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…1687backed Yes | 15c | 145.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 17c | 115.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 17c | 101.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 17c | 100.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 95.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 18c | 93.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Mexico vs. Australia end in a draw?No won
- Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.