Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lisa Zaar vs Laura Samson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb68754fbad7747907bc2d68cbd0f850cc18de76f5d5ece6ef82c43a7383631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Samsonof Lisa Zaar, Laura Samson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Laura Samson | 52c | 1,429$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.02 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lisa Zaar | 48c | 812.15$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.23 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Laura Samson | 43c | 694.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lisa Zaar | 70c | 543.23$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lisa Zaar | 77c | 485.75$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Laura Samson | 68c | 431.9$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laura Samson | 25c | 292.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lisa Zaar | 32c | 234.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Laura Samson | 40c | 200.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Zaar | 55c | 190.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lisa Zaar | 61c | 138.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lisa Zaar | 61c | 119$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Laura Samson | 59c | 110.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lisa Zaar | 40c | 98.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lisa Zaar | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lisa Zaar | 74c | 94.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Laura Samson | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Laura Samson | 24c | 71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Laura Samson | 17c | 67.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Laura Samson | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Laura Samson | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Laura Samson | 51c | 55.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Laura Samson | 29c | 51.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Lisa Zaar | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lisa Zaar | 33c | 49.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lisa Zaar | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lisa Zaar | 55c | 46.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Laura Samson | 74c | 38.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Laura Samson | 52c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lisa Zaar | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Laura Samson | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lisa Zaar | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lisa Zaar | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lisa Zaar | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Lisa Zaar | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lisa Zaar | 62c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Lisa Zaar | 68c | 18.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Lisa Zaar | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lisa Zaar | 72c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.