CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab19cb1a177c5902881cb7c208399efa231ecf67d1b781874d6d8beb0d3dd929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof Washed, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washed | 47c | 2,808$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.17 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked STATE | 50c | 2,567$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.19 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Washed | 50c | 1,835$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.89 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed STATE | 58c | 1,443$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.25 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked STATE | 34c | 1,317$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.24 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed STATE | 50c | 632.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Washed | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washed | 59c | 488.48$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Washed | 22c | 439.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Washed | 39c | 329.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed STATE | 51c | 298$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…4bafbacked STATE | 78c | 221.94$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washed | 51c | 179.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 66c | 178.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked STATE | 76c | 178.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked STATE | 66c | 178.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Washed | 70c | 151.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Washed | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked STATE | 69c | 142.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Washed | 64c | 126.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Washed | 44c | 100.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washed | 20c | 97.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Washed | 67c | 96.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Washed | 26c | 92.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked STATE | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed STATE | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Washed | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked STATE | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed STATE | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked STATE | 47c | 37.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked STATE | 53c | 36.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washed | 69c | 34.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed STATE | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 38c | 32.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Washed | 51c | 31.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Washed | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed STATE | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked STATE | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Washed | 51c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Washed | 70c | 18.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Washed | 65c | 17.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed STATE | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…6d66backed Washed | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerWashed won
- Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.