Us Politics · resolved market
Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec8a5a44f43c0fbdfe8cc768435ceb2234f91fa28da35e14a38d1e3251f3e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361f…0fc2backed No | 33c | 9,322$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 8c | 8,320$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.24 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 6,750$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…5b3ebacked Yes | 72c | 5,810$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 70c | 5,495$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.12 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 28c | 4,554$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.25 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 7c | 3,412$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 78c | 3,221$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.48 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 76c | 2,650$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.6 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,607$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 12cpaid | +818.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 53c | 1,895$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 1,253$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 46c | 879.63$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 32c | 876.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 863$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 46c | 839.88$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…4c26backed No | 62c | 810.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…6f22backed Yes | 78c | 759.29$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…c615backed No | 49c | 735.54$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 5c | 715.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 35c | 691.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.41 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 32c | 686.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 53c | 643.95$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 45c | 621.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…fe61backed No | 33c | 580.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 13c | 564$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked No | 15c | 439.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 75c | 402.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…cdcebacked No | 28c | 402.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…e90cbacked Yes | 47c | 380.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 55c | 362.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed No | 30c | 330.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…34febacked No | 58c | 321.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked Yes | 11c | 319.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 9cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…a3c4backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 26c | 292.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 23c | 267.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 49c | 267.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…6944backed No | 22c | 249.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…0512backed No | 35c | 247.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…5653backed Yes | 44c | 242.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 36c | 240.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…dab3backed Yes | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…c18cbacked No | 41c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +306.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Yes | 47c | 224.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 56c | 221$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…5ac2backed Yes | 53c | 205.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…c256backed No | 60c | 201.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…43dcbacked No | 6c | 200.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed No | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 197.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 43c | 197.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447b…309abacked Yes | 70c | 193.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…80c2backed No | 52c | 188.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed Yes | 43c | 176.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 70c | 174.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…5887backed Yes | 49c | 169.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7dfebacked No | 12c | 167.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…9d21backed Yes | 61c | 163.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 21c | 157.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…954bbacked Yes | 43c | 154.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…be99backed Yes | 78c | 153.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 74c | 150.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…be6fbacked Yes | 53c | 140.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 73c | 137.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…74afbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 70c | 131.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…3346backed No | 38c | 131.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked No | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 70c | 129.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 79c | 125.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 73c | 123.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…609ebacked No | 20c | 115.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb019…a193backed No | 66c | 113.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cc…93a6backed No | 44c | 113.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…1df2backed Yes | 77c | 102.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 10c | 100.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…81e5backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…bf23backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…798bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ecacbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…0518backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…b743backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…2301backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…840bbacked Yes | 75c | 94.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed Yes | 63c | 86.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Yes | 76c | 80.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…64c1backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…782abacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a4…f9aebacked Yes | 50c | 70.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…80fdbacked Yes | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…f66bbacked Yes | 60c | 60.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.