Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3e76730591049a2bf214bcf90fbd9eb3875884efc0ce1f36876b0c6dec7b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 7,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 1c | 1,157$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,130$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 7c | 1,063$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 65c | 906.08$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 67c | 890.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 5c | 686.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…925bbacked Yes | 80c | 668.02$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 627.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.36 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 31c | 604.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 55c | 595.11$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 59c | 589.06$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 9c | 389$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 13c | 387.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 304$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 38c | 301$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 28c | 274.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 68c | 268.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 79c | 251.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 61c | 230.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 14c | 182.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 64c | 158.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 64c | 117.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…4d89backed Yes | 79c | 112.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…bf9abacked No | 27c | 108.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…0e81backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 26c | 99.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 27c | 96.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 19c | 88.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 14c | 85.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…590dbacked No | 28c | 69.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…77f2backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 22c | 58.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 43c | 52.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…f26fbacked No | 49c | 50.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…6f1cbacked Yes | 71c | 49.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…381bbacked No | 25c | 48.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fea…bc9fbacked No | 31c | 46.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6c5abacked Yes | 75c | 43.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 52c | 42.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…182fbacked Yes | 74c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053a…40d9backed Yes | 78c | 36.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…5e29backed Yes | 77c | 35.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 51c | 34.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…9848backed Yes | 74c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…f459backed Yes | 68c | 32.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…e513backed Yes | 76c | 32.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…b398backed Yes | 67c | 29.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 71c | 29.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…ca50backed Yes | 74c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…4dc7backed Yes | 58c | 25.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…710bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +3,757.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…32cebacked Yes | 77c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7d…a098backed Yes | 65c | 15.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…05e5backed Yes | 75c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?this page
- Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
- Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
- Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
- Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
- Will Warren Davidson be appointed as the next Ohio senator?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.