Us Politics · resolved market
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda2a63cafc81f8a753944d8f60abb522e9b789f24831eebf99c919236acdf327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 70c | 14,452$10,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 24c | 11,144$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,512.27 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 3c | 8,888$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 26c | 8,619$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.3 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 3c | 8,615$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 36c | 7,138$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.77 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 25c | 6,893$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 27c | 6,823$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.92 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 32c | 6,815$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.2 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 66c | 5,304$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.57 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 31c | 4,530$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.56 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 74c | 3,456$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.84 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 29c | 3,106$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 62c | 2,456$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.54 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 26c | 2,303$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.03 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 74c | 2,297$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.73 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 71c | 2,273$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.75 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 80c | 2,210$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 32c | 2,154$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…96eebacked No | 78c | 2,140$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 2,021$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.89 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 27c | 1,999$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.38 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 22c | 1,993$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.72 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed No | 50c | 1,983$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 40c | 1,979$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.95 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.9 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 54c | 1,760$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 65c | 1,568$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.07 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…2cc5backed Yes | 36c | 1,373$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,350$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 78c | 1,338$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.11 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…6cadbacked Yes | 54c | 1,337$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 71c | 1,283$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.64 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 1,154$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.84 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 53c | 1,143$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked No | 74c | 1,134$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed No | 79c | 1,103$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,091$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.08 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 43c | 929.06$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.9 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 922.68$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.65 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…5649backed Yes | 33c | 910.85$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 53c | 845.86$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 36c | 845$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.8 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed No | 73c | 813.72$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 47c | 802$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 52c | 770$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 63c | 767$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 24c | 703.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 29c | 701$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 57c | 634.06$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 39c | 618.94$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…9074backed No | 61c | 618.35$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 615.13$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.87 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.8 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 62c | 583.81$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 52c | 572.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.12 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 43c | 571.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.97 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 49c | 570.6$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked No | 70c | 567.69$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…1b93backed No | 72c | 552.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…95a0backed Yes | 58c | 531.5$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 43c | 521.76$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 71c | 487.5$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed No | 70c | 478.02$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 77c | 453.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 40c | 446$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 35c | 440.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 75c | 428.61$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.53 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 49c | 423.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 47c | 420$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 43c | 415.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 41c | 400$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…c327backed No | 75c | 387.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 68c | 368$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed No | 75c | 360.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…dce6backed Yes | 64c | 353.12$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 80c | 349.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…087abacked Yes | 43c | 348.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked No | 77c | 325.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 319.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.35 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 64c | 315$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…27adbacked No | 65c | 306.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 59c | 305$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 65c | 297.3$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed Yes | 54c | 295$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 46c | 293.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 69c | 290.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…19a4backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 63c | 266$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…8e9fbacked Yes | 61c | 252.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 34c | 250$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 43c | 220.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 50c | 215.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 40c | 206.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?this page
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?No won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.