Us Politics · resolved market
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32cecf5ca4cfbb1ce7cb56adf5a823ddb0200de2618108abc6c74fd1a7b689d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 4c | 15,470$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.31 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 10c | 11,943$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 3c | 10,899$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 18c | 9,597$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed No | 1c | 7,162$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 12c | 6,686$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.88 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 18c | 6,085$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.71 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…0f97backed No | 50c | 5,379$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 7c | 5,015$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 16c | 4,862$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.29 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 19c | 3,622$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.29 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 76c | 2,924$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.51 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 58c | 2,782$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.05 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 32c | 2,760$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.67 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,563$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.49 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 12c | 2,213$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…14a4backed No | 50c | 2,067$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 1,773$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.86 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 1c | 1,714$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 8c | 1,683$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,664$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.48 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 14c | 1,651$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 34c | 1,503$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.56 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed Yes | 58c | 1,383$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 33c | 1,351$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.88 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 60c | 1,230$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 46c | 1,227$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.81 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 32c | 1,205$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…4dc4backed No | 50c | 1,130$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 22c | 1,083$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…af89backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…19cebacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…6bcfbacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c7b4backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 49c | 971.12$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.27 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…1054backed Yes | 52c | 968.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed No | 19c | 934$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 12c | 910.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 76c | 878.77$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…9a38backed No | 12c | 868.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…8e9dbacked No | 9c | 800.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 43c | 733.44$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 38c | 726.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…4edbbacked Yes | 65c | 701.75$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 35c | 700.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 684.03$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 76c | 659.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 68c | 540.39$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 71c | 498.48$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 41c | 494.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 55c | 454.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…1a52backed Yes | 50c | 426.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 80c | 421.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 72c | 416.65$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed Yes | 61c | 410.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 400.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 37c | 395.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…0260backed No | 39c | 383$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 33c | 350.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 15c | 329.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…ef48backed No | 50c | 318.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 67c | 315.64$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…74c4backed Yes | 52c | 307.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4e…d146backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked No | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…959cbacked Yes | 57c | 288.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…2e31backed Yes | 50c | 279.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…0955backed Yes | 56c | 268.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 63c | 260.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 17c | 258.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 29c | 246.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…6cacbacked No | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked No | 45c | 228.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…b89cbacked No | 40c | 216.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 70c | 213.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 12c | 213.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 8c | 208.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 62c | 207.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…a1cabacked No | 44c | 207$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…5be7backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…e6c3backed Yes | 57c | 201.93$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…44adbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…4276backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…1873backed No | 15c | 199.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 48c | 196.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…ef27backed Yes | 78c | 192.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 64c | 185.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed Yes | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…ed29backed Yes | 66c | 170.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.