AI · resolved market
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d74d9ea77b720f648d0376c04c661c6039f26bcd5658d5b8588452f6df1922b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 5c | 3,410$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…5b8fbacked No | 16c | 1,588$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed No | 7c | 1,461$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 1c | 1,249$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,055$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 19c | 789.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…5345backed No | 20c | 784.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 678.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 624.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 612.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 16c | 439.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 11c | 437.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 5c | 398.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 70c | 393.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…ee92backed Yes | 68c | 381.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 296.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…c1f2backed Yes | 61c | 281.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 264.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…f73abacked No | 8c | 239.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…a377backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 9c | 143.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed No | 11c | 141.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…a0c5backed No | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed No | 10c | 108.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 42c | 106.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 66c | 104.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 98.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…10b6backed No | 21c | 96.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked No | 43c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…fab1backed Yes | 75c | 80.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 79c | 66.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 52.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…b6dcbacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b9debacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…5e2bbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.