TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes52c2,090$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.526354%34 W · 29 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No2c2,067$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6222019.5%43 W · 177 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No63c1,809$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1335644.6%25 W · 31 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe387…4496backed Yes53c1,335$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x049e…5e44backed Yes66c1,214$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.376100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No80c1,194$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.595843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd281…a3c9backed Yes20c1,149$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No30c1,124$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.722941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2811425.4%29 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes50c751.38$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2210144.6%45 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No33c576.37$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.497035.7%25 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf2d…2c96backed No30c560.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…d690backed No30c556.03$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c2…81e1backed No30c553.15$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…7568backed No30c545.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…cf70backed No30c541.22$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5acc…379fbacked No30c534.46$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…bec0backed No30c524.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…a17cbacked No30c524.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes71c522.46$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fc1…09e5backed No30c509.88$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No29c472.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.754157.2%30 W · 385 L-26.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes24c412.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7410938.5%42 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No69c400$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27445738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No38c367.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.74714.9%7 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc327…31f5backed No30c354.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.494022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes36c344.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.165343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebf…ab91backed Yes30c330.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No42c321$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3411720.5%24 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafbd…5adcbacked Yes70c292.44$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd197…3008backed Yes70c290.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…b65ebacked Yes70c287.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc80…4551backed Yes70c283.61$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91f…c729backed Yes61c283.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…e491backed Yes70c276.32$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…ee92backed No71c275.86$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9f…abf7backed No31c275.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af1…4768backed Yes70c273.74$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda95…7b99backed No31c272.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x650b…3511backed No31c271.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f1…b38abacked Yes70c270.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d39…3c63backed Yes70c270.35$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…ad48backed No31c269.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…02aabacked Yes70c269.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef51…ac36backed No31c269.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929b…0571backed No31c268.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde6…8940backed No31c267.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c3…f25abacked No31c267.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4080…7922backed No31c267.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74b…688cbacked No31c266.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5664…5170backed No31c265.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0c…f907backed No31c265.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…9249backed No31c264.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…3bc8backed No31c264.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545f…c3f7backed No31c264.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa792…375dbacked No31c264.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ab…b916backed No31c263.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…d502backed No31c263.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3d…c93dbacked No31c262.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a72…110ebacked No31c262.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…4d9fbacked No31c262.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a9…835abacked No31c262.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ef…a533backed No31c262.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8b…bbb2backed No31c262.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…fb14backed No31c261.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3b…90dfbacked No31c260.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…ec58backed No31c260.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef91…5146backed No31c259.73$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d1…68d1backed No31c258.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…b930backed No31c257.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9324…52c2backed No31c257.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ea…aea2backed No31c257.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…a9ffbacked No31c257.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1048…ea02backed No31c257.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f0…496bbacked No31c257.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…ffefbacked No31c256.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6f…f8c5backed No31c256.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ee…c896backed No31c256.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…2a37backed No31c255.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e17…9ad4backed No31c255.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9f…d611backed No31c255.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e12…27e2backed No31c255.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…f599backed No31c255.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be8…cd7abacked No31c254.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe370…99efbacked No31c254.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65f…1967backed No31c254.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb11…fdf6backed No31c253.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1d…fb77backed No31c253.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c67…755bbacked No31c252.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…e7aabacked No31c252.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7a…73ddbacked No31c252.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0664…fdb4backed No31c252.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…8266backed No31c252.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5d…ceccbacked No31c252.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52fd…84cdbacked No31c251.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e90…e429backed No31c251.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf06…2877backed No31c250.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…11cdbacked No31c250.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103013.3%4 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63ec…d909backed No31c249.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.