AI · resolved market
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6338f89e8b1018cc4f7b3d5db3973f44c4b9d1579fadfb755371b056d6f5c2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x731c…637dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,540$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…5e44backed No | 72c | 549.12$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…6f30backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 182.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 56c | 171.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 32c | 157.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed No | 79c | 156.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 60c | 143$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 136.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 53c | 129.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed Yes | 39c | 128.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 46c | 128.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…c49fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…2c5fbacked No | 74c | 68.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 18c | 56.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 23c | 54.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…031abacked No | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…b2f4backed Yes | 44c | 45.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 47c | 43.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…7abdbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 73c | 34.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 77c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.