AI · resolved market
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7a4b01ad2ee4a742f8cfca7632e02c8008d5149f8523d8799621955ee5c67b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 40c | 3,687$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…4496backed Yes | 75c | 2,515$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…c729backed Yes | 77c | 1,943$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 59c | 1,603$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.43 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 65c | 1,549$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.97 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 1,357$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.66 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 22c | 1,235$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,090$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 45c | 875.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.86 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 846.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 763.22$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.71 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 22c | 707.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 42c | 700$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 32c | 624.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes | 23c | 591.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 2c | 560$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 62c | 492.43$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 62c | 451.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 18c | 424.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 400$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 55c | 400$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…4f45backed No | 39c | 388.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…ee92backed No | 29c | 376$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 10c | 353.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 32c | 340$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 62c | 323.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…bfa0backed No | 46c | 320$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 37c | 292.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 23c | 272.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 26c | 263.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 261.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 58c | 243.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 216.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 18c | 203.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 15c | 190$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 68c | 185.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 183.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 61c | 172.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…e238backed Yes | 11c | 171.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 61c | 163.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 61c | 161.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed Yes | 66c | 141$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 59c | 130.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 20c | 126.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 42c | 123.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 60c | 110.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…4cb4backed No | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 20c | 100.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…f2c0backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…c1f2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…4bacbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 98.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 98.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes | 15c | 97.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 48c | 97.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 92.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…d10cbacked No | 44c | 91.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 59c | 87.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 139 | 71.9%100 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 16c | 85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…2924backed Yes | 64c | 78.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 20c | 77.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 61c | 72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 64c | 70.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 17c | 64.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 64.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 142 | 81%115 W · 27 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 56c | 62.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 61.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 42c | 50.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b9debacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 34c | 36.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7ebcbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 74c | 35.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…8801backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…c26abacked Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 63c | 33.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 52c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 78c | 26.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…c130backed Yes | 74c | 26.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?this page
- Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?No won
- Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.