CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8422b11cf93f0f97d708feb27976248471a709398e2e3ea9290e33074e7608ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked M80 | 49c | 1,441$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed M80 | 70c | 1,277$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Voca | 51c | 804.18$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 30c | 672$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Voca | 27c | 502$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Voca | 34c | 499.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Voca | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Voca | 35c | 384.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Voca | 33c | 232$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed M80 | 71c | 200.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…caa2backed M80 | 58c | 190.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked M80 | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed M80 | 49c | 142.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Voca | 41c | 110.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Voca | 21c | 92.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed M80 | 66c | 79.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Voca | 48c | 60.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Voca | 37c | 57.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed M80 | 62c | 53.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Voca | 49c | 53.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Voca | 32c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed M80 | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed M80 | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked M80 | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 4 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)M80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Voca (+2.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.