Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89a08f13f44b6e7cea15e4b2ce3246e259abb7fc7084cb0d6e2f4d787f0837c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 53c | 4,688$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.57 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 46c | 2,703$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 47c | 2,044$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 1,267$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.04 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 1,247$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.59 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 55c | 1,208$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.16 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 47c | 591.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.88 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 47c | 566.14$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 546.33$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 54c | 280.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 47c | 279$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 45c | 236.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Over | 47c | 84.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 58c | 69.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 53.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…e18bbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 45c | 35.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 247 | 35.2%87 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 55c | 35.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Over | 44c | 30.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 57c | 28.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 20.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.