Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778350952d7618042be78bc42808c262800265220a21e2c3931465388ba91a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 5,123$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.59 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 21c | 4,836$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.83 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 29c | 4,139$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.55 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,313$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked No | 65c | 1,972$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 16c | 846.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 782.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 35c | 761.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.23 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 30c | 655.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 73c | 651.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.77 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 74c | 629.29$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 66c | 622.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 597.94$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Yes | 16c | 561.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 9c | 505.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 65c | 499.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 75c | 489.42$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 30c | 459.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed No | 76c | 440.11$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 29c | 426.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 30c | 414.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 404.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 14c | 399.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 394.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 20c | 389.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 75c | 381.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 370.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed No | 76c | 320.48$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked Yes | 9c | 315.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 314.72$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed No | 67c | 299.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 38c | 292.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 69c | 290.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 16c | 279.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed No | 58c | 274.02$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked No | 78c | 261.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed No | 75c | 249.7$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…767ebacked No | 69c | 248.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 7c | 246.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…465cbacked Yes | 20c | 243.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 10c | 227.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 219.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 24c | 215.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 206.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 23c | 205.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe8…55cabacked Yes | 15c | 198.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 19c | 190.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 68c | 189.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed No | 78c | 188.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 173.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed No | 72c | 159.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…4802backed No | 78c | 158.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 145.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 67c | 144.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…6e1ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 21c | 141.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 42c | 139.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 29c | 132.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed No | 76c | 131.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 78c | 126.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 20c | 126.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 28c | 109.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 37c | 109.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 26c | 105.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…07a2backed No | 66c | 100.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 27c | 97.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 29c | 96.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…36d6backed Yes | 19c | 96.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 63c | 96.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…5710backed Yes | 28c | 95.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 26c | 90.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…d655backed No | 74c | 89.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 89.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 21c | 89.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…aaa7backed Yes | 14c | 86.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354e…c0b2backed Yes | 14c | 84.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 13c | 77.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 72c | 75.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…23acbacked No | 77c | 75.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…a21dbacked No | 72c | 72.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed No | 69c | 70.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 70c | 69.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…59f9backed Yes | 25c | 63.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…d606backed Yes | 29c | 63.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…4ebfbacked No | 79c | 62.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed No | 80c | 58.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 41c | 56.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 56.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 51c | 55.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 63c | 55.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…7a48backed Yes | 29c | 54.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 28c | 53.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f983backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.