Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fe8a88eb43a448cc8398de5b7b23536c264595a67d1993b5eb53ccf47ca396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3f5…5142backed Yes | 0c | 7,856$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 1c | 4,532$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 5c | 1,254$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 8c | 891.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 18c | 699.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 8c | 488.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 422.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 399.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…07a2backed Yes | 19c | 385.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 16c | 344.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 18c | 334.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 320.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…4802backed Yes | 15c | 299.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 9c | 280.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 27c | 279.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 273.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 264.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 78c | 250.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 19c | 205.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 196.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 196.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 78c | 181.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 9c | 168.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 161.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Yes | 12c | 155.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…18cbbacked Yes | 13c | 151.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 136.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 27c | 135.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 130.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 78c | 127.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 76c | 127.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…c88cbacked Yes | 28c | 125.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 76c | 119.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…5823backed Yes | 10c | 104.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 22c | 103.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 25c | 102.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 75c | 100.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 10c | 100.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 27c | 99.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…1f8bbacked Yes | 22c | 98.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 27c | 97.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 29c | 96.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 15c | 92.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 27c | 85.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…a989backed No | 75c | 85.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…544abacked Yes | 25c | 77.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…43b6backed Yes | 24c | 77.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 24c | 68.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 20c | 65.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 18c | 64.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…2f35backed Yes | 30c | 62.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 60.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 60.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…e1bfbacked Yes | 25c | 56.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 54.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…36d6backed Yes | 26c | 53.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 53.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked Yes | 27c | 51.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 79c | 49.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Yes | 22c | 48.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 28c | 46.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 76c | 46.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 46.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…ddd7backed Yes | 23c | 46.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 22c | 46.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…6ce9backed Yes | 26c | 42.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 77c | 31.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…c6b6backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…be43backed No | 76c | 28.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…68b4backed No | 79c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…3374backed No | 77c | 23.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 78c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…352abacked No | 77c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 76c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 62c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 79c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 70c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.