Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821ae5d759129bc6158e92b21cce33609a97b6b78957beb43d17a33e65f77f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 71c | 911.65$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 9c | 867.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 777.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 9c | 689.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 24c | 451.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 78c | 399.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 8c | 386.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked No | 73c | 368.75$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 341.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 23c | 317.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 25c | 291.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…4fa0backed No | 66c | 290.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…d137backed Yes | 37c | 273.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Yes | 22c | 271.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 229.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 19c | 207$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 23c | 202.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 20c | 184.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 78c | 176.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…2c46backed Yes | 40c | 161.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 21c | 157.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 19c | 154.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…155ebacked Yes | 10c | 151.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 18c | 150.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…1752backed No | 75c | 132.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 127.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 79c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 48c | 111.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Yes | 37c | 108.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…eecabacked Yes | 19c | 103.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…c62fbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 80.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 73.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…2b00backed No | 50c | 60.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 26c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…0bfbbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 66c | 35.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 56c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.