Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfd4d878c7a09fc318c75b59a77881479d5bb20a979d33380d5bd4fccfbe7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,769$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.88 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 22c | 2,428$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.51 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 69c | 649.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 25c | 468.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Yes | 76c | 437.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked No | 17c | 414.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 79c | 407.21$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked No | 25c | 402.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked No | 15c | 354.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…0e85backed No | 39c | 323.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…86b2backed No | 17c | 294.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 74c | 267.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8badbacked No | 15c | 239.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…89b9backed No | 23c | 216.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed No | 14c | 208.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…7001backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 75c | 192.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked No | 24c | 192.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7cf9backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked No | 25c | 189.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 170.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 79c | 163.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…30ecbacked No | 24c | 152.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 22c | 147.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 76c | 145.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ee…6cd5backed Yes | 76c | 143.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…57edbacked No | 26c | 135.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…80a6backed No | 22c | 112.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 74c | 104.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…2a66backed No | 19c | 102.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…65ccbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…6cd6backed No | 24c | 97.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 18c | 80.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…346cbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 71c | 76.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692a…491fbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…2c47backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…d1acbacked Yes | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…e46bbacked No | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed Yes | 75c | 48.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 43.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 73c | 23.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…fab8backed Yes | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…098bbacked Yes | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 77c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…e994backed Yes | 76c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.