Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76725e41a3c64d679ee8512a29d2dff83c3d90e39173ec4eea5af8299a796a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de2…772fbacked No | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,494$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.78 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 50c | 1,246$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.67 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 36c | 1,151$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…7001backed No | 45c | 963.37$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 40c | 728.53$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.41 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…c0e3backed No | 45c | 660.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 55c | 649.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 47c | 646.54$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 73c | 548.31$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Yes | 55c | 484.69$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…2daebacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 51c | 456.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 58c | 328.07$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked No | 31c | 318.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 60c | 254.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 68c | 241.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 5c | 211.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 66c | 211.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 40c | 190.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 47c | 185$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Yes | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…19a3backed No | 22c | 163.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…0e96backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…8ef9backed No | 39c | 134.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked No | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 59c | 119.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked Yes | 77c | 113.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…a1bfbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…96e8backed Yes | 57c | 91.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 61c | 91.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd893…5b0ebacked Yes | 61c | 84.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…57edbacked No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 55c | 61.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 73c | 56.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked No | 27c | 56.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…975fbacked Yes | 45c | 53.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…8690backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…e485backed No | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 42c | 39.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1593…2a2abacked No | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41d…97e5backed No | 40c | 37.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…ca0bbacked Yes | 57c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…4ac1backed Yes | 45c | 32.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 40c | 30.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…141dbacked Yes | 51c | 27.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed No | 44c | 27.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…e994backed Yes | 50c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…1351backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4654…f29fbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.