Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee03ce2061139c741e647040030b6440403457f6513d831203f1c050efb5a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,145$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 963.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 6c | 937$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 654.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 612.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 496.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 430.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 418.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 5c | 359.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…25b6backed Yes | 7c | 347.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 8c | 343.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…00ddbacked Yes | 9c | 315.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 8c | 291.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 9c | 283.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 10c | 262$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 11c | 253.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 9c | 234.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 219.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 9c | 216.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 9c | 215.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…7faabacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 9c | 213.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…a473backed Yes | 18c | 206.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…6a16backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…45f3backed Yes | 7c | 192.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 10c | 169.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 14c | 150.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 138.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 13c | 118.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…e47ebacked Yes | 16c | 88.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…5fd8backed Yes | 19c | 69.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…a047backed Yes | 75c | 19.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.