Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a0aa77214b4aa4198c0d0107add63de21b5f1484b673dfd2e6167409f069fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 1,298$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 747.5$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 689.88$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 651.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 462.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 28c | 357.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 357.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Yes | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 79c | 347.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 41c | 301.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 232.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 218.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 206.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 196.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 25c | 191.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 153.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 153.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 67c | 150.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 42c | 147.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Yes | 42c | 115.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 105.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 92.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 87.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 86.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 58.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 33c | 56.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 54.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 50.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Yes | 36c | 47.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 46.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 41.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 59c | 39.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…e492backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 73c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…5985backed No | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 64c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will Randers FC vs. Odense BK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.