Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5af423bb5438e960cd1d529e037156df84e0a6469b792a5f45941ce1651bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 17,813$10,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,518.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 14,097$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 39c | 13,406$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.1 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 10,562$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.06 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 48c | 10,496$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 49c | 8,136$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 47c | 6,666$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.02 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 48c | 6,214$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 5,522$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 49c | 5,178$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.67 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 4,894$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 4,846$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.08 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 4,296$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.89 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 3,907$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.39 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 3,165$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 52c | 2,879$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.5 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 2,751$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.37 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 2,060$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 43c | 1,690$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,642$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed No | 56c | 1,567$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,502$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 47c | 1,404$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 50c | 1,339$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.19 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,202$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 59c | 1,177$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.95 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 46c | 1,041$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…f972backed Yes | 47c | 919.02$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 881.75$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.24 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 45c | 863.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…7809backed Yes | 25c | 853.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Yes | 48c | 846.37$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.23 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 833.38$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 60c | 784.35$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 62c | 655.16$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 40c | 544.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Yes | 47c | 520.47$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…cca0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Yes | 46c | 423.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 58c | 403.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 384.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…618ebacked No | 55c | 352.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 346.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 49c | 314.14$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 41c | 306$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 33c | 292.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed No | 62c | 288.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 22c | 272.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 48c | 255.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 49c | 253.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 235.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 225.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 46c | 225.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 46c | 217.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 48c | 208.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 51c | 207.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…d325backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Yes | 49c | 174.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…d189backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 43c | 150.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 48c | 143.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 35c | 127.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 123.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 49c | 120.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Yes | 38c | 118.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 45c | 118.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…94cebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 60c | 107.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 44c | 107.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 48c | 105.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…ab8cbacked No | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked No | 53c | 102.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…7619backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 51c | 100.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…5531backed No | 52c | 100.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf052…e10bbacked Yes | 25c | 100.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…22b9backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 63.9%106 W · 60 L | +20.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay leading at halftime?this page
- Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?Yes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.