Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f94ce1478aabb2d886dc7e9429c26e45c1c6528579c91de809139ac7f18ee5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 16,098$11,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 11c | 13,300$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.32 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 4,027$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.21 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 3,303$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 11c | 2,629$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.51 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 2,320$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 11c | 994.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.53 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 959.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 10c | 779.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 11c | 764.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 9c | 491.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 12c | 481.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.87 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…4782backed Yes | 11c | 435.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 11c | 359.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 11c | 287.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 12c | 269.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 8c | 219.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 18c | 196$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 12c | 176.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 7c | 171.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 12c | 166.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…80b9backed Yes | 10c | 164.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 161$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 11c | 152.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 145.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 144.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 16c | 142.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 11c | 141.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…0b9ebacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 13c | 105.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 12c | 103$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fb63backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +116%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…88f4backed Yes | 65c | 90.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 83.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 16c | 79.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed No | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 52c | 60.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 52c | 41.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…1b39backed No | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Draw at halftime?No won
- Uruguay leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.