Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05573699d230a1abdebe6c9b1b387ee683bc979f5d77d29130e18a84e2cab95f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 22,693$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 4,196$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 6c | 3,624$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 2,099$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 6c | 1,938$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,715$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9ff3backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 7c | 960$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016f…921bbacked Yes | 2c | 800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 664.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…fc5abacked Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 29cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…652bbacked Yes | 10c | 610$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…10c2backed Yes | 6c | 533.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 7c | 514.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…e967backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…dc6bbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…e718backed Yes | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…aa39backed Yes | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…a044backed Yes | 7c | 256$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 5c | 239.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 6c | 215.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…97e0backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…82f3backed Yes | 10c | 209.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…0de2backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…0badbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…4ff9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…31a3backed Yes | 10c | 133.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…aa99backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 123.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 12c | 121.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.