Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8231308add586cebac124c18141ddd3047c8c09013c22c28433d7c8dc8b988a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 43,495$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…00a1backed Yes | 15c | 41,298$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 14c | 11,000$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.1 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 12c | 5,250$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 5,203$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…0558backed Yes | 13c | 2,224$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 13c | 1,575$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,540$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 11c | 1,453$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 13c | 1,403$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Yes | 12c | 1,285$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,114$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f1bdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 13c | 919.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 16c | 880.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…d4e6backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…ce56backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…96c9backed Yes | 13c | 756.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…be1ebacked Yes | 13c | 750.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Yes | 12c | 749.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 13c | 742.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes | 14c | 734.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…c69cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…c2dbbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8088backed Yes | 14c | 670$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…e72abacked Yes | 14c | 599.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 13c | 536.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 13c | 532.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…d6eabacked Yes | 12c | 509.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…b764backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 13c | 481.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 14c | 481$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Yes | 13c | 456$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…a015backed Yes | 12c | 454.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 13c | 450.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 13c | 443$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 14c | 438.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…23abbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…513ebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…1002backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…403cbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…698bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…35e1backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 18c | 372.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 361.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…92febacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…febebacked Yes | 13c | 341.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 13c | 338.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…c594backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…d927backed Yes | 13c | 302.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…076abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 17c | 285.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…cae5backed Yes | 13c | 244.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…b8fabacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…007dbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…7c51backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.