Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed69d3c4a2d0de01630b48b0926d1f5ebbdc7180642bf7200abd6d61ed1fc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 58,496$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes | 6c | 15,397$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 3,736$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…916fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 5c | 1,760$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…d4e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…b877backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,586$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…2739backed Yes | 7c | 1,494$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1388backed Yes | 6c | 1,083$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…3a4ebacked Yes | 10c | 990.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 4c | 956.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 903.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 5c | 884.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…c114backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…ce56backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…7bdcbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Yes | 6c | 810.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 6c | 777.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 6c | 746$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…92febacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 684.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…cacfbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 5c | 598.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…3378backed Yes | 6c | 575$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…87c0backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 10c | 495.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 4c | 421$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…61a8backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…0837backed Yes | 6c | 331.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…a241backed Yes | 6c | 324.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…aef3backed Yes | 6c | 309.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…700abacked Yes | 6c | 299.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…83afbacked Yes | 5c | 291.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…99e4backed Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…7f13backed Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…f214backed Yes | 11c | 283.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 6c | 272.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…71dfbacked Yes | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…43e6backed Yes | 6c | 260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…5c4abacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…4d21backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…56fdbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…1d81backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…8d2fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…3527backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…2d9bbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…acfebacked Yes | 10c | 106.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?No won
- Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.