TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otakar Esportsof NOVO Esports, Otakar Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed NOVO Esports57c32,926$18,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,856.6454851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Otakar Esports42c9,265$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,371.656863.2%43 W · 25 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NOVO Esports58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.994647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Otakar Esports42c4,826$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Otakar Esports42c4,826$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.0878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec6…a2f1backed Otakar Esports42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Otakar Esports42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.896346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Otakar Esports42c1,925$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.672552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed NOVO Esports27c1,812$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Otakar Esports42c1,331$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9317353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Otakar Esports42c1,235$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Otakar Esports42c1,034$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.5615942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Otakar Esports58c909.23$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.241,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Otakar Esports42c879.12$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8961035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Otakar Esports42c840.08$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.445728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked NOVO Esports40c733.47$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.715438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c38…91b7backed Otakar Esports42c661.65$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Otakar Esports54c568.52$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Otakar Esports66c556.49$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.461,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Otakar Esports42c534.08$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.763938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Otakar Esports42c523.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.93857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Otakar Esports42c506.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.042638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Otakar Esports76c460.36$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0242540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Otakar Esports43c424.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4745033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed NOVO Esports30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Otakar Esports47c399.87$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.935156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Otakar Esports69c346.26$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.87044.3%31 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed Otakar Esports42c267.18$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e5…07e1backed Otakar Esports42c264.28$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Otakar Esports42c261.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.952828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Otakar Esports42c260.6$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1512850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Otakar Esports42c255.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9515343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Otakar Esports42c252.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.622339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked NOVO Esports29c251.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1936138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Otakar Esports42c241.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.959052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed NOVO Esports58c238$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0423055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd9…4d7fbacked Otakar Esports42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Otakar Esports42c227.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked NOVO Esports40c212.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.726139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Otakar Esports57c203.68$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked NOVO Esports28c187$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.238828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Otakar Esports63c155.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.985651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Otakar Esports70c122.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6110242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Otakar Esports42c114.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.625834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Otakar Esports66c108.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed NOVO Esports15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.244918.4%9 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NOVO Esports32c93.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4934739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dba…b14dbacked Otakar Esports64c89.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Otakar Esports42c86.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.182450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed NOVO Esports26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.813035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Otakar Esports64c75.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2619661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Otakar Esports42c75.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9814959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x624f…453cbacked Otakar Esports41c73.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed NOVO Esports20c70.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.974020%8 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Otakar Esports42c66.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6316041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Otakar Esports42c63.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed NOVO Esports59c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.586250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NOVO Esports59c59.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3963652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed NOVO Esports25c59.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.226730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Otakar Esports42c59.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.485858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Otakar Esports78c52.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed NOVO Esports24c51.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NOVO Esports28c50.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1657517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Otakar Esports42c48.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9910142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Otakar Esports42c48.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Otakar Esports74c46.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Otakar Esports42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6623732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Otakar Esports74c42.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1399945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed NOVO Esports31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.415839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Otakar Esports54c39.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9578344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Otakar Esports74c32.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5516842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed NOVO Esports38c31.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.074944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Otakar Esports42c27.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Otakar Esports77c24.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6716442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Otakar Esports77c24.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6721048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb818…6611backed NOVO Esports67c20.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Otakar Esports69c19.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1334671.1%246 W · 100 L-1.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Otakar Esports80c18.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6413225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Otakar Esports70c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.367544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Otakar Esports76c15.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.788158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.