Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fff0134c813e7e2efe8def3b24d14abbc0c5524512f3f5cd9f9232e055e4179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riddleof Crest Gaming Zst, Riddle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed Riddle | 31c | 5,962$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed Riddle | 33c | 1,894$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.97 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Riddle | 33c | 1,613$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.44 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 1,272$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.17 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 1,092$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.97 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 989.55$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 611.01$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Riddle | 32c | 527.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 500.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Riddle | 36c | 387.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Crest Gaming Zst | 64c | 375$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 362.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…fc4cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 354.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 68c | 329$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 320$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 309.7$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 300.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 257.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 66c | 232.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…1d71backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 230.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 189.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Crest Gaming Zst | 69c | 187.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Riddle | 31c | 184$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 69c | 177.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Riddle | 34c | 176.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 139.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 119.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…e1e6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 108.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Riddle | 35c | 71.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Riddle | 29c | 64.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 64.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 63.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Riddle | 32c | 43.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Riddle | 44c | 42.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 40.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…e421backed Crest Gaming Zst | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 32.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 25.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 68c | 25.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 20.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Riddle | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Crest Gaming Zst | 77c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.