CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0190f3b5056afd8dcc55617a59e584855a6c113db083b04c61706da80ae686e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof F5 Esports, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed F5 Esports | 16c | 2,392$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked F5 Esports | 46c | 1,615$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked F5 Esports | 20c | 1,250$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed F5 Esports | 15c | 1,104$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked F5 Esports | 13c | 599.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed F5 Esports | 12c | 411.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed LAG Gaming | 46c | 400$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed F5 Esports | 11c | 397.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked LAG Gaming | 47c | 374.22$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed F5 Esports | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed F5 Esports | 11c | 245.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 244.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed F5 Esports | 10c | 241.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 227$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 167.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked F5 Esports | 16c | 162.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed F5 Esports | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports | 9c | 151.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed LAG Gaming | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked F5 Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242a…7402backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 121.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked F5 Esports | 21c | 115.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed F5 Esports | 21c | 100.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked F5 Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked F5 Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed LAG Gaming | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 60.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked LAG Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed LAG Gaming | 32c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked LAG Gaming | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.