TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Estral Esportsof Ei Nerd Esports, Estral Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Estral Esports72c11,567$8,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.661,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Estral Esports71c8,299$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.767056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Ei Nerd Esports28c6,937$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.5116047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Ei Nerd Esports29c3,810$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.474431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ei Nerd Esports30c3,465$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ei Nerd Esports28c2,903$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.132542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ei Nerd Esports28c2,892$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.741,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Ei Nerd Esports28c2,727$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.5354246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fa…b739backed Ei Nerd Esports37c2,628$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f0…b3f1backed Estral Esports72c2,487$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.61080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ei Nerd Esports27c2,001$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6467931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ei Nerd Esports27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Estral Esports70c1,589$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.551,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Ei Nerd Esports44c1,003$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4183560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Estral Esports71c999.96$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.992,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Estral Esports74c985.66$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2323674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Estral Esports73c983.45$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.861,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Ei Nerd Esports43c903.01$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9932036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Ei Nerd Esports42c850$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35886251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Estral Esports70c837.23$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8911959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Estral Esports71c740.06$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6263161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Ei Nerd Esports30c702.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.821836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Estral Esports70c698.27$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1713538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Ei Nerd Esports29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.488448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed Estral Esports51c652.17$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7913647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Ei Nerd Esports43c637.17$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3549841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Estral Esports60c631.77$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9619743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Estral Esports72c608.48$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.769259.8%55 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Estral Esports56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26435346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ei Nerd Esports31c569.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.233,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Estral Esports71c560$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.410034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Estral Esports74c553.39$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8815357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Estral Esports73c548.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.771,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Ei Nerd Esports30c547.57$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6819053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Estral Esports74c545.56$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.223057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Estral Esports72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Estral Esports56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22032160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Estral Esports73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Ei Nerd Esports45c434.21$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.733042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ei Nerd Esports17c410.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.731,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed Estral Esports72c397.68$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.586045%27 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Ei Nerd Esports28c335.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7142847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Estral Esports65c334.5$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.072962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ei Nerd Esports28c302.76$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5640231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Ei Nerd Esports31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9312927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Ei Nerd Esports51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15317032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Estral Esports67c294.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3243837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Estral Esports58c294.11$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.832650%163 W · 163 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ei Nerd Esports38c289.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5536946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Ei Nerd Esports34c280.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0550051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ei Nerd Esports24c265.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.791,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Estral Esports62c262.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Ei Nerd Esports29c257.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6880150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Ei Nerd Esports39c245.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7416240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Ei Nerd Esports58c240.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4615364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Ei Nerd Esports43c224.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5838342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Ei Nerd Esports9c214.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ei Nerd Esports51c213.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1346436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Estral Esports74c213.14$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Estral Esports63c209.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.612,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Estral Esports48c202.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.549640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Estral Esports59c198.73$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.341,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…0c34backed Ei Nerd Esports29c198.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.443740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Estral Esports52c189.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0494144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Estral Esports42c182.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.831346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Estral Esports74c181.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.869062.2%56 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed Estral Esports71c179.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Ei Nerd Esports27c157.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Estral Esports59c151.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2914450.7%73 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Estral Esports69c147.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4519257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ei Nerd Esports25c137.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8275150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Estral Esports71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.839044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Ei Nerd Esports29c119.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.781,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Estral Esports53c114.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3610748.6%52 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Ei Nerd Esports42c113.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1174…059abacked Estral Esports58c112.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Estral Esports37c108.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7212047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cca…3c3bbacked Estral Esports69c106.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Estral Esports53c106.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.617658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf974…9b55backed Ei Nerd Esports31c100.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Ei Nerd Esports26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Estral Esports67c97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0114561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Ei Nerd Esports13c94.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0325345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c1…a5a2backed Ei Nerd Esports52c93.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.667564%48 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda78…f83abacked Estral Esports66c93.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.742853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Estral Esports57c88.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.749451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Estral Esports74c81.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.516254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Estral Esports73c78.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2538257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Estral Esports77c78.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.478043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ei Nerd Esports32c77.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ei Nerd Esports35c76.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Ei Nerd Esports64c76.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9249253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed Estral Esports73c75.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.525058%29 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Estral Esports56c74.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.769743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Estral Esports70c70.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3213556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Ei Nerd Esports27c70.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8418357.9%106 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Estral Esports70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0419656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Estral Esports68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411361.9%70 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Estral Esports71c69.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0944046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Ei Nerd Esports28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1417745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.