Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3159cd466c279954fbe5b2489e43c94452b7e9efd05ac4a8d1410bc93e5706fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Motiv Esportsof Motiv Esports, Oasis Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Motiv Esports | 59c | 3,826$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Oasis Gaming | 46c | 3,276$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Motiv Esports | 54c | 2,718$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.18 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Oasis Gaming | 40c | 1,718$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Motiv Esports | 55c | 1,401$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.57 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Motiv Esports | 57c | 1,221$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oasis Gaming | 43c | 1,100$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.96 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…fc0abacked Oasis Gaming | 43c | 898$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Oasis Gaming | 47c | 548$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Motiv Esports | 56c | 541.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Oasis Gaming | 40c | 531.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 503.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Motiv Esports | 57c | 449.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 404.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Motiv Esports | 52c | 301.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Motiv Esports | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 298.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 283.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…68b0backed Oasis Gaming | 43c | 279.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…1b99backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 226.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Oasis Gaming | 45c | 225.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Oasis Gaming | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…4647backed Oasis Gaming | 46c | 208.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Oasis Gaming | 40c | 207.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Motiv Esports | 70c | 204.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Motiv Esports | 55c | 204.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Oasis Gaming | 43c | 193.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Oasis Gaming | 45c | 190$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Oasis Gaming | 26c | 165$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Motiv Esports | 55c | 127.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Oasis Gaming | 47c | 118.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 116.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Motiv Esports | 54c | 106.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Motiv Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Motiv Esports | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 94.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 89.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Motiv Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Motiv Esports | 58c | 81.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Oasis Gaming | 46c | 79.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Oasis Gaming | 45c | 75.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Oasis Gaming | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Motiv Esports | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Motiv Esports | 56c | 55.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Oasis Gaming | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Motiv Esports | 58c | 51.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 48.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e3…7311backed Oasis Gaming | 46c | 43.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Oasis Gaming | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Oasis Gaming | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Oasis Gaming | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Oasis Gaming | 43c | 31.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Motiv Esports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oasis Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Motiv Esports | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…165abacked Motiv Esports | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Motiv Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.