Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6c493af1131c84d17eb8a20c28c1965f3f6da95bb0bcf8d206612006d083f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 34,783$16,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,046.27 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Team Liquid | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 9,164$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.18 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 7,290$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.92 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,906$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.12 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,211$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.8 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,567$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,524$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.36 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,252$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 822.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.75 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 711.09$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 676.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Team Liquid | 53c | 668.75$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid | 30c | 621.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Liquid | 9c | 544.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Liquid | 2c | 516$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 515.57$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Team Liquid | 53c | 389$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Team Liquid | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 282.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…5b9abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 274.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed Team Liquid | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Team Liquid | 53c | 213.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Liquid | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…7e11backed Team Liquid | 53c | 175.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 168.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 160.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 137.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 133$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 111.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Team Liquid | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Team Liquid | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 89.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Team Liquid | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Liquid | 38c | 61.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Team Liquid | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 56.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 54.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Team Liquid | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…028abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 47.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Team Liquid | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 41.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Liquid | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Team Liquid | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 31.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5772…023ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1faabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…80fbbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 24.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2this page
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.