Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d17d64b6ace88f75cc7e7e23e302b78cb1bb853e18a9f1983366a196ed6c8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Shopify Rebellion Black, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed FlyQuest | 40c | 56,430$22,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,717.27 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 52,053$31,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,232 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FlyQuest | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 7,029$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed FlyQuest | 52c | 3,746$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…188fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 3,250$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 3,069$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest | 41c | 1,473$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 21c | 1,202$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 1,180$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FlyQuest | 41c | 1,158$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.94 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 963.54$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 913.31$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed FlyQuest | 44c | 714.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.26 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 560.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 27c | 488.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 449.44$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 445.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 397.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 332.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…5b56backed FlyQuest | 75c | 322.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed FlyQuest | 41c | 319.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 306.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed FlyQuest | 46c | 303.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 246.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 212.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked FlyQuest | 52c | 206.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 185.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FlyQuest | 76c | 180.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed FlyQuest | 55c | 177.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…4372backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 175.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…2273backed FlyQuest | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 174.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1ae0backed FlyQuest | 80c | 169.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 166.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 137.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FlyQuest | 77c | 133.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 116.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…2e54backed FlyQuest | 47c | 112.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FlyQuest | 58c | 104.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 100.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed FlyQuest | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked FlyQuest | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 96.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 93.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 89.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 34c | 87.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 84.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FlyQuest | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed FlyQuest | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 80.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed FlyQuest | 41c | 77.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 76.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 34c | 70.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 70.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 70.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed FlyQuest | 56c | 64.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed FlyQuest | 40c | 63.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed FlyQuest | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed FlyQuest | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…de73backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 53.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 52.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FlyQuest | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 22c | 47.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…b5dabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 47.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…6eacbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest | 38c | 46.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…294abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 46.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 45.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 42.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…6611backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 41.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…f82ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…8efbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 40.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked FlyQuest | 71c | 39.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed FlyQuest | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed FlyQuest | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…d4bebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FlyQuest | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed FlyQuest | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed FlyQuest | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…2693backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 31.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed FlyQuest | 56c | 31.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed FlyQuest | 71c | 30.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 30.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 29.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed FlyQuest | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked FlyQuest | 58c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 19.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.