TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rare Atomof Rare Atom, TEAM XDM
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ca0…76cbbacked Rare Atom35c3,973$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TEAM XDM19c3,073$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEAM XDM22c2,002$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Rare Atom70c1,254$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4828960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed TEAM XDM64c1,108$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.0916761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e2…9a09backed TEAM XDM64c1,070$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.892060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Rare Atom79c1,003$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed TEAM XDM20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom78c903.26$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.34,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Rare Atom71c686.27$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.436246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x582a…ae39backed Rare Atom70c525.68$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.187250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked TEAM XDM30c505.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7519540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Rare Atom40c331.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.167847.4%37 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked TEAM XDM65c302.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.936647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked TEAM XDM7c249.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.254231%13 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4d…7f1dbacked TEAM XDM37c237.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Rare Atom65c225.4$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5413839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…7ef9backed Rare Atom74c218.16$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Rare Atom68c216.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.388563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TEAM XDM26c209.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.511,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked TEAM XDM49c200.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5210350.5%52 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Rare Atom51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed TEAM XDM49c198.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.316355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed TEAM XDM29c156.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4813436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53d…52b3backed TEAM XDM13c156.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.623850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed TEAM XDM14c155.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8169635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf05…3e27backed TEAM XDM65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db5…fa3ebacked TEAM XDM65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed TEAM XDM21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Rare Atom51c149.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.144858.3%28 W · 20 L+10.2wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed TEAM XDM15c144$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.669732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Rare Atom74c133$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5641847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked TEAM XDM15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9817930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TEAM XDM25c121.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.674,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed TEAM XDM16c117.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.396949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc603…3220backed TEAM XDM65c117.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Rare Atom72c113.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8828852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked TEAM XDM69c113.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.097758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Rare Atom70c111.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5335752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed TEAM XDM21c111.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.441,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked TEAM XDM30c110.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.548020%16 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked TEAM XDM26c104.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1923653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked TEAM XDM32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3270038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked TEAM XDM23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2384037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed TEAM XDM15c96.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4157322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked TEAM XDM28c88.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9217150.3%86 W · 85 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Rare Atom36c86.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.165546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEAM XDM18c85.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.495,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8c…bcd4backed TEAM XDM65c84.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7930%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked TEAM XDM64c78.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.292142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2796…b4f0backed TEAM XDM27c77.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…dfffbacked Rare Atom65c73.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4437…a474backed TEAM XDM41c70.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Rare Atom70c69.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6491648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfa8…91ffbacked Rare Atom75c66.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed TEAM XDM18c61.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2495849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked TEAM XDM20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4138858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed TEAM XDM65c60.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161520%3 W · 12 L-5.5wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf096…3692backed TEAM XDM65c60.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed TEAM XDM40c51.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5573948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d86…37adbacked Rare Atom74c50.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed TEAM XDM25c50.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4120156.2%113 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Rare Atom53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Rare Atom79c49.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.426450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed TEAM XDM64c48.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7550%0 W · 5 L-3.6wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked TEAM XDM28c45.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7536151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacda…bd31backed TEAM XDM65c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d97…cab6backed TEAM XDM65c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed TEAM XDM65c45.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7489…7c83backed Rare Atom67c45.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed TEAM XDM24c42.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0487244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Rare Atom36c40.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1411344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked Rare Atom36c40.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.647536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rare Atom73c39.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…3a77backed TEAM XDM56c36.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Rare Atom36c35.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5370036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8259…6992backed TEAM XDM65c31.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed TEAM XDM61c30.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef2…889dbacked TEAM XDM65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed TEAM XDM65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x611b…9b3dbacked TEAM XDM65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x254a…e1b9backed TEAM XDM65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5830%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed TEAM XDM65c29.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed TEAM XDM48c28.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed TEAM XDM64c27.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be5…2881backed TEAM XDM48c26.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x859c…38e4backed TEAM XDM64c23.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387d…1d28backed TEAM XDM65c23.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick67cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x599b…2253backed TEAM XDM64c22.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed TEAM XDM65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc2…9aa3backed TEAM XDM65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x158b…8f0cbacked TEAM XDM65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed TEAM XDM65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6927459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce0…c846backed TEAM XDM65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e04…d367backed TEAM XDM65c21.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed TEAM XDM61c20.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Rare Atom78c18.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed TEAM XDM64c18.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4854…1c93backed TEAM XDM61c18.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked TEAM XDM64c18.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.