TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over51c2,817$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.23627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Under51c2,799$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c1,890$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under49c1,371$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.893231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under50c1,315$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under52c1,168$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.585749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.994344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9929138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c889.8$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over51c399.61$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bed…df2dbacked Under47c390.61$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd469…8b63backed Over52c384.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over51c307.21$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3f…caf9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Over50c294.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Over49c275.3$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.97145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over48c234.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c222$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4160648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043574.3%26 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+57.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Under54c179.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over50c168$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00be…8ec8backed Under50c154$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over48c149.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under48c139.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9611450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4964…4e66backed Under50c125.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c114.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over48c106.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.210647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Under49c103.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x608d…3933backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+103.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Over52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.992770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+62.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x76f2…f86fbacked Over53c94.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under53c93.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Under54c92.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over51c73.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Under48c57.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.992123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over39c53.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4921354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over50c49.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eab…aa00backed Under51c48.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Over50c46.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over48c46.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Over52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845c…bd64backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed66…ae08backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…eea7backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x667a…01cfbacked Over51c36.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under49c33.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1520…3a4cbacked Over52c32.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over47c32.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over48c28.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.669149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81dd…fb03backed Over52c28.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over44c26.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.684924.5%12 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Over48c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over51c24.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1f71backed Under51c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Over51c20.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd45…8f2bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f83…7052backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under53c19.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.315149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.