Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9268aef3a764cca840388323a4fc36da6386bdb4f8a65cc822971f0e3a90febd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Under | 65c | 12,688$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 35c | 5,947$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 39c | 3,596$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 40c | 2,928$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.26 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 61c | 2,901$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.09 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 36c | 1,558$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 36c | 1,091$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 36c | 544.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…0b10backed Under | 62c | 459.66$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 37c | 379.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 247.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 61c | 196.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 39c | 142.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…8b63backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 63c | 108.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 40c | 87.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 64.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…059cbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 61c | 50.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…8fffbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…3eb7backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 39c | 36.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 61c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…99bbbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.